Pezeshkian exit odds reach 12.5% by Dec. 31 amid U.S. sanctions

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has said Iran should end its ongoing conflict from a "position of power and dignity" as the U.S. prepares to intensify economic sanctions. The measures, described as "Economic D-Day," are part of Washington's effort to increase pressure on Tehran amid a prolonged military and diplomatic stalemate. Prediction-market pricing puts the odds of Pezeshkian leaving office by December 31 at 12.5%, adding to uncertainty over his political standing. Observers are watching statements from Iran's leadership, actions by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), public support or criticism from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and developments involving the Strait of Hormuz for signs of changes in Iran's internal politics and regional stability.

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