Polymarket now prices only a 43% chance that Bitcoin will touch $80,000 in the remainder of August, down 19 percentage points in 24 hours. Odds of a rise to $85,000 have fallen to 12%, a seven-point decline over the same span. Bitcoin recently traded near $76,600 after dipping to around $57,717 in July, aligning with veteran trader Peter Brandt's forecast of $58,000–$62,000, though the timing was off. The repricing follows a failed push toward $80,000: Bitcoin approached the level on Friday and reached about $79,500 before selling off over the weekend, briefly breaking below $76,000 and later stabilizing near that mark. Under the market’s rules, the contracts settle to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle high equals or exceeds the stated strike during the month in U.S. Eastern Time; only that venue and pair count.