U.S. President Donald Trump said he would be impeached if Republicans lost the midterm elections and reiterated that Iran must be stopped from developing nuclear weapons. He said Iran was eager to reach an agreement but questioned whether the United States wanted one, stating that the Strait of Hormuz was U.S. territory. In a subsequent Truth Social post, Trump labeled a map of the waterway "new US territory." The strait is internationally recognized under maritime law as a navigational passage, not U.S. territory, so the rhetoric does not change its legal status. Market pricing put the probability of a U.S.-Iran agreement by Aug. 31 at 2.9% YES, indicating sharply reduced expectations for a resolution.