AIPAC is preparing to spend on behalf of Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee in Michigan’s Senate race, but Rogers and some allies are concerned that a public campaign by the pro-Israel group could backfire amid rising U.S. anger over Israel’s military campaign in Gaza. AIPAC’s United Democracy Project spent $32 million unsuccessfully opposing Abdul El-Sayed in the Democratic primary and entered the month with $59 million. The dispute adds uncertainty to a closely contested race in which recent polls show El-Sayed with a slight lead and prediction-market pricing puts the probability of a Democratic win at 64%. AIPAC’s broader challenge is that it faces growing opposition among progressive Democrats and now concern among some Republicans, despite its long-standing claim to be bipartisan. The material also promotes live prediction-market analysis powered by Vera.