PPP’s prediction-market monitoring tool shows an 86% probability that Ethereum will reach $2,500 during the remainder of August on Polymarket, up 36 percentage points over 24 hours. The contract is pegged to the Binance ETH/USDT pair and settles Yes if any one-minute candlestick high equals or exceeds $2,500 inside the month’s U.S. Eastern Time window, from 12:00 a.m. on the first day through 11:59 p.m. on the last day; otherwise it settles No. Only Binance ETH/USDT one-minute highs count, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are excluded.