The White House announced that President Trump had successfully destroyed Iran’s military and nuclear sites and planned to focus next on targeting the country’s economy. The development represents a significant escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict, which began in February 2026, and suggests a transition from military action toward intensified economic sanctions (government measures restricting economic activity). Market pricing indicates that the likelihood of a 2026 U.S.-Iran deal including reconstruction funding has fallen to 12.5%. Observers are watching for details of the planned economic measures, Iran’s possible retaliatory or diplomatic response, and any further military action, all of which could affect related prediction markets (markets that price the likelihood of future events).