CLARITY Act Senate vote odds remain 25% as regulators weigh action without bill

The Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act remains stalled after the House passed H.R. 3633 on July 17, 2025, by 294-134. Polymarket priced a 25% chance of more than 60 Senate votes, while Congress.gov records an August 8, 2026, cloture motion on the motion to proceed but no Senate passage. BitGo CEO Mike Belshe warned that regulators could begin rulemaking without the bill, saying, "The regulators believe America is better off getting rulemaking underway." SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig have signaled similar plans. The bill would generally assign digital-commodity oversight to the CFTC while preserving specified SEC jurisdiction, and its prospects remain uncertain.

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