The Taiwan dollar is likely to remain in a consolidation range against the US dollar, though risks are tilted toward appreciation, Commerzbank strategists said Tuesday. The currency has traded within a narrow range as investors weigh Taiwan’s strong export performance, particularly in technology, the central bank’s monetary policy stance and broader global risk appetite. A weaker US dollar, including any decline linked to expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, could encourage carry trade flows and increase demand for Asian currencies, benefiting the Taiwan dollar. A stronger currency could reduce the competitiveness and profit margins of Taiwanese exporters while lowering import costs for consumers and supporting overseas purchasing power. The Taiwan dollar’s direction is also a closely watched indicator for Asian currencies and the region’s export-driven economies, making the outlook relevant to hedging and investment decisions.