Kalshi traders have lifted the odds that shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal, pricing a 50% chance before April 1, 2027, 54% before July 1, 2027, and 68% before January 1, 2028. The move higher followed Iran’s claim of a revenue-sharing deal with Oman, a development prediction-market participants treated as improving the outlook for restoring passage through the vital oil chokepoint.