Bitcoin Rebound Gains Support From Spot Demand, Short Squeeze and Large-Holder Accumulation

  • Bitcoin rose from roughly $63,000-$63,500 to above $80,000 as spot buying and short-position closures supported the rebound.
  • Weekly realized capitalization increased by more than $4.6 billion, while the 30-day growth rate remained 0.4%.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows reached approximately $2.8 billion during the rise, while futures open interest fell from 646,000 BTC to 588,000 BTC.

Bitcoin recovered about 26% from its mid-August low, rising from roughly $63,000-$63,500 to above $80,000, as spot demand, short-position closures and large-holder accumulation supported the advance, according to Glassnode, QCP Capital and CryptoQuant analysis. Glassnode said an Aug. 19 short-liquidation event was the largest one-day liquidation event since 2019, while QCP said approximately $2.8 billion entered spot Bitcoin ETFs during the rise. Other measurement periods recorded $2.23 billion in seven-day ETF inflows and approximately $2.57 billion across seven consecutive positive sessions through Aug. 25. Leverage declined as Bitcoin futures open interest fell from about 646,000 BTC in mid-August to 588,000 BTC, or 11% in BTC terms, while funding remained relatively low, near neutral and later negative. Weekly realized capitalization rose more than $4.6 billion in the week ending Aug. 30, but its 30-day growth rate remained 0.4%, leaving the liquidity recovery unconfirmed. QCP identified continued spot demand as the key short-term question amid uncertain rate expectations, including a 35% market-implied chance of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve increase in September. The U.S. Treasury’s planned increase in long-term bond repurchase limits supported risk assets, but QCP stressed that the program is not quantitative easing.

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