U.S. July payrolls fall 23,000 as labor market cools

  • U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July.
  • Benchmark revisions cut jobs through March 2026 by 79,000.
  • May and June payrolls were revised down by 66,000 and 37,000.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, the first outright decline in months, reinforcing a cooler labor market in which hiring has slowed sharply from the stronger gains of 2023 and 2024. Year-to-date job growth has averaged roughly 60,000 positions a month. The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised May payrolls down by 66,000 and June by 37,000, and on August 28 issued a preliminary annual benchmark revision that trimmed employment for the 12 months through March 2026 by 79,000 jobs, or about 23,000 fewer per month—a modest 0.1% reduction that still points to softer conditions than earlier headlines implied. Private-sector payrolls in that benchmark window were revised down by 178,000, including cuts of 154,600 in retail, 96,000 in education and health services and 67,000 in manufacturing, while government payrolls were revised up by 99,000; average monthly gains through March fell to about 11,000 from a prior estimate of 18,000. Healthcare has remained the standout, adding between 22,600 and 55,000 jobs a month in recent reports, whereas leisure and hospitality, retail and government have weakened. The hiring rate has settled near 3.3% as employers stay cautious, yet layoffs remain historically low, with weekly jobless claims in a narrow 203,000–207,000 band. Unemployment held at 4.1% in July even as the labor force shrank under rising retirements and tighter immigration enforcement. Final benchmark figures are due in February 2027, and the August jobs report is expected to show about 65,000 new positions. Weaker reported hiring could firm expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, though a smaller labor pool may also add to inflation pressure.

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