The U.S. Senate is scheduled to hold a cloture vote in 16 days on H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act, a procedural step that would test whether lawmakers still have the bipartisan support needed to begin formal debate. The House passed the measure and the Senate Banking Committee advanced its market-structure text, which would generally assign qualifying digital commodities to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission while leaving securities-related tokens and transactions under the Securities and Exchange Commission. Current market pricing implies only a 13.5% probability the Act is signed into law by the end of 2026, down from earlier levels, as bipartisan backing appears to be weakening. Negotiations remain unsettled and agencies continue developing crypto frameworks independently of Congress. The forthcoming Senate vote will be watched for the positions of Chuck Schumer and Tim Scott, along with any White House signals from President Trump and his advisers that could sway the process.