Former IRGC commander Mohsen Rezaei has outlined four conditions for a potential agreement with the United States, signaling a possible shift from his earlier advocacy of an offensive doctrine toward diplomacy. His terms include reduced military pressure and an end to active hostilities. The comments follow the collapse of a ceasefire, with the United States and Iran resuming hostilities over Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions. Prediction-market pricing for whether a 2026 U.S.-Iran deal would include funding for Iran’s reconstruction has edged up to 11% YES. The conditions indicate strategic bargaining rather than complete de-escalation. Investors and policymakers will watch responses from President Donald Trump and Chief Negotiator Mike Vance, along with developments in the Strait of Hormuz, Israel’s military posture and Iran’s nuclear activities.