U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent plans to announce new Iran-related secondary sanctions weekly after an initial round failed to meet expectations, intensifying the Trump administration’s effort to pressure entities and countries doing business with Iran. The initial package, introduced on August 24, expanded penalties for Iran-linked entities and widened the sectors subject to secondary sanctions. Prediction-market odds of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian leaving office by December 31 have risen from 14% to 25.5% and most recently 26% YES. The pricing reflects heightened uncertainty rather than a confirmed resignation or dismissal. Iran’s rial has also fallen to approximately 2.02 million per U.S. dollar in the informal market, driving demand for gold and other assets as confidence in the currency weakens. Statements from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the IRGC and other influential institutions, as well as further Treasury announcements, could affect expectations about Pezeshkian’s tenure and Iran’s political stability.