Russian forces are reportedly advancing toward Druzhkivka in Ukraine’s Donetsk Oblast, with troops seen about 15 kilometers from the town amid recent artillery and attack-drone activity, Reuters reported. The fighting is concentrated around the Kostiantynivka–Druzhkivka axis, where ongoing military operations have caused significant destruction. A prediction market currently places the likelihood of Russian forces entering Sloviansk by the end of 2026 at 22.5%. Observers will track further troop movements, Ukrainian military responses, international diplomatic intervention and strategy changes by either side, all of which could affect market perceptions and the stated probability. Vera is offering live prediction-market analysis and inviting users to sign up.