The attendance of Russia’s finance minister at a G-20 meeting, following an invitation from former U.S. President Donald Trump, has triggered objections from other attendees. The dispute reflects continuing international tensions over Russia’s involvement in Ukraine and overshadowed discussions focused on global economic issues. Market pricing indicates a lower probability of a potential Trump-Putin meeting in Turkey than in earlier periods, suggesting diplomatic strain is influencing expectations. Observers are watching for statements from the White House or Kremlin, confirmation of another venue, an explicit rejection, or further diplomatic overtures that could shift market expectations. Vera offers live prediction-market analysis on the issue.