Israel is reportedly preparing operational plans for a military strike against Iran as U.S. diplomatic pressure raises the risk of escalation. The development comes during the 2026 Iran war, which began earlier this year with coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes. Market pricing indicates a lower probability that Iran Reconstruction Funding will be included in a 2026 U.S.-Iran deal, alongside broader signals of heightened conflict risk affecting markets tied to possible airspace closures and uranium enrichment discussions. Observers are watching for official announcements from Israel or the U.S., changes to Israeli airspace policies, and shifts in U.S. or Iranian positions on nuclear enrichment and reconstruction funding. The geopolitical situation remains fluid, with military or diplomatic actions capable of rapidly changing market expectations. Vera offers live prediction-market analysis related to the developments.