Vance backs Fed rate cut as traders price 66.2% odds of a hike

  • Vice President JD Vance said inflation data supports a Federal Reserve rate cut.
  • 66.2% probability of a hike was priced for the Fed's Sept. 16 meeting.
  • U.S. national debt exceeded $40.12 trillion as Treasury yields climbed.

Vice President JD Vance said President Donald Trump's administration is "quite confident" that current inflation and CPI data justify a Federal Reserve rate cut, arguing that lower borrowing costs would improve housing affordability. His comments contrast with market pricing: CME FedWatch showed a 66.2% probability of a hike at the Fed's Sept. 16 meeting. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he was prepared to leave the federal funds rate unchanged at the Sept. 15-16 meeting. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield reached about 4.8%, the highest since January 2025, and the 30-year yield remained above 5% as the U.S. national debt surpassed $40.12 trillion.

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