Microsoft shares face pressure as Stifel raises price target to $530

  • Stifel raised Microsoft’s price target to $530 from $450 while retaining a Hold rating after reviewing Azure and Copilot prospects.
  • Microsoft reported $90 billion in fiscal-fourth-quarter revenue, with Azure and other cloud services revenue up 43% and commercial remaining performance obligations up 84% to $678 billion.
  • Microsoft expanded infrastructure with 31 data centers, while Google competition, OpenAI-related concerns and margin pressure remained key risks to further revaluation.

Microsoft shares opened at $500.04, down 1.98%, despite strong fiscal fourth-quarter results, while Stifel raised its price target to $530 from $450 and maintained a Hold rating. Revenue rose 18% to $90 billion, net income increased 31% to $35.8 billion, and Azure and other cloud services revenue grew 43%; Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $59.3 billion with a 65% gross margin. Azure growth accelerated from 39% in the prior quarter, with fiscal Q1 2027 guidance at 45%. Stifel analyst Brad Reback cited Azure expansion and accelerating M365 Copilot adoption, including a shift from limited trials to enterprise-wide deployments. Management said Copilot’s hybrid monetization model will combine seat-based subscriptions with consumption charges, while premium-tier conversions and revenue per user remain more important than subscriber totals. Reback said substantial revaluation would require faster Azure growth or capital-expenditure growth below Azure’s expansion rate. Microsoft added 31 data centers, while commercial remaining performance obligations rose 84% to $678 billion. Competitive concerns include Google’s market-share gains and a diminishing advantage from Microsoft’s OpenAI partnership. Satya Nadella’s roughly $43 million September 1 share sale followed a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 plan adopted March 8, 2026. BofA Securities raised its target to $600, KeyBanc retained an Overweight rating and $600 objective, and the broader consensus remained Strong Buy with 32 Buy ratings, one Hold and a $571.41 average target.

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