Gold Holds Near $4,400 as Oil, Iran Risks Lift Yen and Yields

  • Gold held near $4,400 and Brent approached $97 as the U.S.-Iran conflict heightened energy-supply, inflation and interest-rate concerns.
  • Spot gold was reported between $4,409.68 and $4,428.23 an ounce, while the yen rose 0.6% to 153.51 and markets priced about a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed hike.
  • Asian shares were mixed after the U.S. holiday, with Japan’s real wages up 2.4% in July, Canada imposing tariffs on roughly $20 billion of U.S. goods and investors awaiting U.S. inflation data.

Global markets traded cautiously after the U.S. Labor Day holiday as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict threatened energy supplies, raised inflation risks and complicated central-bank policy expectations. Spot gold rose as much as 0.5% to $4,428.23 and was also reported at $4,409.68 an ounce, while Brent crude approached $97 a barrel. The yen climbed 0.6% to 153.51, its strongest level since Feb. 18, as Asian equities were mixed, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.788% and traders priced about a 60% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve increase at its September meeting. Strong U.S. hiring, Japan’s higher revised growth and stronger real wages, Canada’s tariffs on roughly $20 billion of U.S. goods, and upcoming U.S. producer- and consumer-price data shaped the outlook. Bitcoin rose 0.1% to $79,333.01 and ether gained 0.2% to $2,498.94.

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