Vitalik Buterin rejects Liron Shapiro's AI-driven Bitcoin crash forecast

  • Vitalik Buterin disputed Liron Shapiro's AI-driven Bitcoin crash forecast.
  • Liron Shapiro later lowered his probability estimate to 40% from 50%.
  • Boltz indefinitely suspended its Bitcoin swap service after AI-assisted probing and contained exploits.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin rejected Liron Shapiro's forecast that artificial intelligence could drive Bitcoin down by more than 50% within two years by eroding confidence in its security. Shapiro, whose surname appeared as Shapira in earlier coverage, initially put the probability at 50% and later lowered it to 40%. Buterin said he remains optimistic about long-term cybersecurity, views security-upgrade transitions as the central challenge, and assigns very low odds to AI fundamentally breaking Bitcoin's SHA-256 hashing or proof-of-work system. The disagreement centers on whether AI-assisted attacks against wallets, mining pools, software clients, bridges and other infrastructure can outpace defenders before vulnerabilities are fixed. Bitcoin swap provider Boltz indefinitely suspended its service after months of automated probing and contained exploits, despite its non-custodial structure protecting customer funds. Cyvers chief executive Deddy David has warned that AI-powered crypto attacks could eventually create losses in the hundreds of millions or billions of dollars. Anthropic, major technology companies, financial institutions and more than 100 organizations are expanding defensive-AI efforts as they warn that AI-enabled cyberattacks are becoming more sophisticated.

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