Qatar is pursuing a phased strategy to reduce the regional crisis, with Foreign Ministry spokesman Majed Al-Ansari saying Doha wants conditions for a sustainable settlement rather than a quick resolution. The approach includes maintaining open waterways and encouraging negotiations amid heightened Gulf tensions, recent strikes on Iran and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Qatar’s efforts build on a Qatari delegation’s visit to Iran on Sunday, confirmed by Iranian official Baghaei, as direct U.S.-Iran negotiations remain stalled. In one active prediction market, the probability of Mojtaba Khamenei attending a U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting by year-end is 4.2%, slightly higher than in previous days. Separately, market pricing has indicated low odds of a meeting by September 30 and has tracked scenarios involving talks resuming by the end of 2026. Israel’s continuing military actions in Gaza and wider Gulf tensions remain part of the regional backdrop. Observers are watching for official announcements, renewed negotiations, senior-level meetings and any escalation affecting the Strait of Hormuz. Vera provides live prediction-market analysis.