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Polymarket Ukraine ceasefire odds crash to 13% for December 31, 2026

Verifying
  • Polymarket prices Ukraine-Russia ceasefire contracts for October 31 and December 31, 2026.
  • 13% is the December 31 implied probability, down from 40% yesterday.
  • Both contracts require a ceasefire to remain continuously in force for 10 calendar days.
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