Vitalik Buterin sees 60% chance SNARKs, FHE and iO reach single-digit overhead

Verifying
  • Vitalik Buterin assessed overhead probabilities for SNARKs, FHE and iO.
  • 60% covers eventual sub-10x overhead; 33% covers all three approaching 1+ε overhead.
  • Ethereum block-proving costs fell from $1.69 to under four cents during 2025.
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