GPT-6 Astra lifts AI-linked stocks as AGI declaration odds surge

  • OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release lifted linked AI-infrastructure stocks and drove prediction markets to raise the odds of a formal AGI declaration.
  • Astra was trained on about 100,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell GPUs, with 400,000 additional GPUs coming online; it scored 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 versus 7.8% for the prior model.
  • Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and OpenAI’s Greg Brockman described an AGI era, while researchers disputed the claim and OpenAI chief scientist Jakub Pachocki urged stronger safety standards and caution over autonomous systems.

OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra release lifted companies across its infrastructure and investment network while sharply increasing speculation that a company could formally declare artificial general intelligence (AGI). Kalshi traders raised the odds of any such announcement before April 1, 2027, to 62% from 32% a day earlier, briefly reaching 72%; Polymarket’s odds of a declaration by Dec. 31, 2026, rose to 28% from 19%. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said "AGI has arrived," while OpenAI President Greg Brockman said the company was "now moving into the AGI era." Astra used about 100,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell GPUs, with 400,000 more coming online for OpenAI, and Broadcom developed its Jalapeno inference chip. OpenAI reported major benchmark gains, including 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 versus 7.8% for the prior model, but researchers disputed whether Astra meets any agreed AGI standard. The release also renewed debate over AI safety, recursive self-improvement, infrastructure spending and whether investment returns will match the scale of data-center expansion.

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