Brent Tops $100 as WTI Hits $102.48 Amid Middle East Supply Risks

  • October WTI settled at $102.48 a barrel after rising 6.69%, while November Brent climbed 6.34% to $107.63.
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.97% intraday, near its October 2023 peak, as August producer prices rose 5.4% year over year.
  • IBK said Middle East tensions could persist through the U.S. midterm elections, keeping crude prices and the possibility of a later Fed hike in focus.

U.S. stocks closed lower on Sept. 10 as surging crude prices, rising Treasury yields and renewed inflation concerns pressured risk assets. October West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $102.48 a barrel, up $6.43, or 6.69%, after reaching $103.06 intraday, while November Brent rose 6.34% to $107.63; both contracts recorded their highest closes since May 19. Brent had gained about 30% since the start of the second half and moved above $100 as the continuing U.S.-Iran conflict, attacks on tankers and Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi seizure of Mocha raised concerns about shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal. IBK Investment & Securities said tensions could persist through the U.S. midterm elections and that clashes could broaden to involve the United States and China. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.60% to 52,064.10, the S&P 500 declined 0.58% to 7,591.70 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.65% to 26,081.72. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 4.97% intraday, near the October 2023 peak of 4.99%, while the 30-year yield closed at 5.360%, its highest close since June 2004, and the two-year yield rose to 4.548%. August producer prices increased 0.4% from July and 5.4% year over year, above the 5.3% forecast, while CME FedWatch placed the probability of a September rate hike at about 60%, reviving concern that tighter policy could weigh on equities even if the Federal Reserve holds rates at the upcoming meeting.

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