Swedish Social Democrat leader Magdalena Andersson is favored to return as prime minister after Sunday’s election, with a September 2-10 Indikator Opinion survey putting four left-leaning parties at 50.8% and 180 seats, against 47.6% and 169 seats for the governing right-wing bloc and its support party, the Sweden Democrats. The result would replace centre-right Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson after four years in opposition for Andersson, who became Sweden’s first female prime minister in 2021 and remains the country’s most trusted politician in polls. The centre-left lead has narrowed, while economists warn that pledges to raise defense spending and meet growing welfare demands face a "hard crash" with fiscal reality, regardless of the election’s outcome. Andersson’s parties also remain divided over government participation, billionaire taxation and new nuclear reactors. The governing bloc supports Ukraine, military rearmament and relief for households facing higher living costs, while Kristersson says the Sweden Democrats would enter government for the first time if his side wins.