Polymarket odds of 25 bps Fed hike jump to 81%

  • Polymarket raised the odds of a 25 bps Fed rate hike to 81%.
  • 81% was the probability assigned to a 25 bps increase.
  • August jobs data, UBS and Fed Chair Warsh shaped the shift.

Polymarket odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike rose to 81%, while the probability of no change fell to 18%. The repricing followed a stronger-than-expected August jobs report, a hawkish UBS forecast calling for two rate increases this year and Fed Chair Warsh's warning about inflation risks.

The information on this website is generated using AI and we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Please use it as reference information only.