Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence says Kerch Bridge’s military value has diminished, Crimea odds 5.5%

Verifying
  • Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence assesses the Kerch Bridge has reduced military significance for Russia.
  • 5.5% YES prices Ukraine’s recapture of Crimea by end-2026, down from 6%.
  • Russia’s Sloviansk capture market remains at 5% YES after limited recent movement.
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