Bitcoin slips 1.6% as Senate CLARITY Act passage odds fall to 19%

  • Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $76,890 before the Senate’s scheduled 2:15 p.m. Eastern CLARITY Act cloture vote.
  • XRP derivatives volume rose 97.18% to $5.52 billion and options volume increased 348% to $14.55 million over 24 hours.
  • Polymarket cut estimated passage odds to 19% from 31% Monday; cloture would allow debate but require at least seven Democratic votes to advance the bill.

Bitcoin fell 1.6% to $76,890 ahead of the Senate’s scheduled 2:15 p.m. Eastern cloture vote on the CLARITY Act, while Polymarket data showed estimated passage odds falling to 19% from 31% on Monday. The proposed market-structure law would establish clearer token-classification rules and reduce regulatory uncertainty for crypto companies. XRP derivatives volume rose 97.18% to $5.52 billion and options volume jumped 348% to $14.55 million as traders positioned around the vote. The procedural vote would permit debate but would not ensure passage; Republicans hold 53 Senate seats and would need at least seven Democratic votes if all Republicans support the measure. Bitcoin was up 31% since early July but remained 12% below its 2026 opening level. Ethereum fell 1.9% to $2,475 and XRP declined 0.2% to $1.40. Coinbase fell roughly 4% in premarket trading to $183.11 after reaching $193.22 in the prior session. Compass Point upgraded Coinbase to Neutral from Sell and set a $177 price target, below its recent trading range. Strategy fell 3.8% in premarket trading after a 4.6% gain Monday, while ARK Invest sold cryptocurrency-related holdings including Coinbase, Bullish, Circle Internet Group and Bitmine Immersion Technologies. More than $330 million in crypto positions were liquidated over 24 hours, affecting nearly 80,000 traders, while Bitcoin open interest fell 13.5% to 278,151 BTC. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF flows weakened after roughly $3.8 billion of inflows over three weeks in August helped lift Bitcoin from about $63,000 to $81,700. Investors were also cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday rate announcement as major U.S. stock-index futures declined.

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