Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro 47.3% to 40% in a potential second-round runoff, according to a CNT/MDA poll released Tuesday. The result reverses the direction of the candidates’ August 11 comparison, when Lula led 48% to 39.1%, and differs from recent BTG Pactual/Nexus and Quaest surveys that showed much narrower or opposing runoff leads. In the CNT/MDA first-round scenario, Lula received 40.5%, followed by Bolsonaro at 30.4%, Augusto Cury at 6%, Ronaldo Caiado at 3% and Renan Santos at 2.7%. If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes on October 4, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25. CNT surveyed 2,002 people from September 9 to 13, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.