Bank of Finland lifts growth forecasts to 1.7% this year, 1.6% in 2027

  • Bank of Finland raised Finland’s economic growth forecasts, citing stronger exports and investment.
  • GDP growth is projected at 1.7% this year and 1.6% in 2027.
  • Unemployment is forecast to fall from 10.4% this year to 9.0% in 2028.

Finland’s economy is expanding faster than previously expected, led by exports and investment, the Bank of Finland said. The central bank raised its GDP forecast to 1.7% this year and 1.6% in 2027, from earlier projections of 0.7% and 1.2%, respectively, and revised last year’s growth to 0.8% from 0.2%. Unemployment is expected to remain at 10.4% this year before falling to 9.8% in 2027 and 9.0% in 2028 as labor demand increases. Inflation is forecast to reach 2.4% this year because of higher energy prices linked to the conflict in the Middle East, before easing to 1.4% in 2027. The outlook comes after years of stagnation associated with domestic fiscal austerity and Russia’s war in Ukraine. Alphabet’s Google also said it would invest at least €13 billion ($15 billion) in Finnish AI infrastructure over the next two years, its largest European investment.

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