BofA survey shows equity optimism fading as bond-yield risks rise

  • Bank of America’s survey identified disorderly bond-yield increases as investors’ leading tail risk.
  • Thirty-three percent cited rising yields, while net bond underweights reached 48%.
  • The September survey covered 190 investors managing $512 billion from September 4 to 10.

Investor risk appetite weakened in Bank of America’s September 2026 Global Fund Manager Survey as a disorderly rise in bond yields remained the leading market tail risk and corporate overinvestment reached a record concern. Cash holdings rose to 3.9% from 3.5%, while BofA said investors could increase risk exposure when cash returns to a neutral 4%-5% range. Fund managers remained constructive on growth and artificial-intelligence spending: 55% expected a no-landing outcome, a net 8% expected further global growth acceleration, and expectations for double-digit earnings growth reached their highest level since August 2021. AI hyperscaler capital expenditure was the most-cited potential source of a systemic credit event, while long global semiconductors remained the most crowded trade. Investors trimmed stock and commodity overweights, retained a large bond underweight and rotated into healthcare, industrials and banks. The Federal Reserve, Treasury yields and the US midterm election outcome remained key risks for markets.

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