The CLARITY Act faces a 60-vote Senate cloture hurdle on Tuesday, requiring at least seven Democrats to join Republicans, who hold 53 seats, before debate can advance toward a final vote. U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) said the bill was ready after a year of bipartisan negotiations and said President Trump voluntarily accepted unprecedented ethics restrictions. Kalshi traders assign a 93% probability to a Senate vote, with more than $1.3 million traded, but give qualifying crypto market structure legislation a 39% chance of becoming law before July 1, 2027. Polymarket traders put the CLARITY Act's chance of becoming law by Dec. 31, 2026, at 13%, with more than $17.5 million in volume. The vote would clear a procedural barrier rather than enact the legislation.