Crude oil ETFs surge 27.12% as Korean retail investors bet on a reversal

  • Korean crude oil ETFs rallied as Middle East supply disruptions lifted international oil prices.
  • KODEX WTI Crude Oil Futures gained 27.12% over the past month.
  • Retail investors invested ₩87.2 billion in KODEX's inverse oil ETF during that period.

International oil prices have climbed to their highest levels since May as disruptions across key Middle East and other producing regions raise supply concerns. Korean crude oil exchange-traded funds (ETFs) followed the rally, with KODEX WTI Crude Oil Futures (H) gaining 27.12% over the past month and TIGER Crude Oil Futures Enhanced (H) rising 25.76%. Retail investors, however, positioned for a reversal: KODEX WTI Crude Oil Futures Inverse (H), an inverse ETF designed to gain when oil prices fall, attracted ₩87.2 billion in net inflows while losing 20.67%. Brent settled at $108.75 a barrel and WTI at $105.83 on the 15th, both their highest closes since May 19. The rally followed the shutdown of Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline after a drone strike, alongside tanker attacks, Houthi control concerns around Red Sea routes, Libyan oil-field shutdowns and Kazakh maintenance. Analysts and brokerages say the length of the pipeline outage will be critical. Estimates range from a short-term inventory buffer of 5–7 days to a potential loss of 120 million barrels of Saudi export volumes during a month-long shutdown. Samsung Securities and KB Securities analysts expect elevated prices to persist amid depleted inventories, unresolved regional tensions and constrained shipping routes, with KB Securities warning prices could exceed $120 if the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is blockaded.

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