Trump inflation approval falls to 19% as Democrats improve House prospects

  • President Donald Trump's inflation approval rating fell to 19%, producing a record-low minus-61 net rating in the Marquette poll.
  • Democratic midterm enthusiasm was 76%, versus 55% for Republicans, while Cook rated 21 House races as toss-ups, including 16 Republican-held seats.
  • Polymarket put a Democratic sweep of Congress at about 60%, although Republicans remained favored to retain the Senate.

President Donald Trump's approval rating on inflation has fallen to 19%, producing a minus-61 net rating that CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten called the worst recorded for any president. Economic concerns and Trump's broader approval rating of about 38% are weighing on Republican prospects, while Democratic enthusiasm and House race indicators have improved. Marquette found 76% of Democratic voters and Democratic-leaning voters were very enthusiastic about voting in the midterms, compared with 55% of Republican voters. The Cook Political Report rates 21 House races as toss-ups, including 16 held by Republicans, and Democrats need a net gain of three seats to regain the chamber. Republicans remain favored to retain the Senate, where five of seven toss-ups are Democratic-held and Democrats need four net gains for control, although Polymarket priced a Democratic sweep of both chambers at about 60%, up from 51% on Sept. 1. Tariffs and inflation remain central voter concerns as the Federal Reserve raises rates and inflation increases.

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