U.S. authorities allege that Iran is using a bitcoin exchange to manage toll collections from vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil shipments. Market pricing currently puts the likelihood of Iran charging such fees by October 31 at 14%, a modest increase. The claim adds a digital-finance dimension to the maritime standoff, as cryptocurrency could help Iran bypass traditional financial systems and sanctions. Observers are watching for statements from Iranian and U.S. authorities, possible Iranian legislation formalizing a toll system, and reports of vessels making payments through the exchange. Those developments could affect market pricing as the October 31 deadline approaches. Vera offers live prediction-market analysis and invites users to sign up.