ING expects Fed, ECB to each raise rates once by year-end

  • ING now forecasts one rate increase each from the Federal Reserve and ECB by year-end.
  • 2022 saw a sharp inflation surge and delayed monetary-policy response, economists noted.
  • Energy prices have created supply-side shocks for both central banks, with overall economic effects still limited.

ING now expects the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates once each before the end of the year, replacing its earlier forecast that both would keep rates unchanged. ING economists said the latest Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday and the ECB meeting last week indicated that neither institution was likely to pursue the very accommodative monetary policy previously anticipated. Both central banks are confronting a supply-side shock (economic disruption caused by constrained supply) triggered by soaring energy prices, although the broader impact on the economy remains limited so far. The economists also pointed to memories of sharply rising inflation in 2022 and the delayed monetary-policy response. They expect both institutions could raise rates in December.

The information on this website is generated using AI and we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Please use it as reference information only.