Qatar conveys Iran’s terms to Washington as fragile ceasefire holds

  • Qatar conveyed Tehran’s terms for ending the conflict to Washington.
  • YES odds for a potential U.S.-Iran deal rose from 14% to 15.5%.
  • Iran linked talks and Strait of Hormuz reopening to specific U.S. conditions.

Iran’s top security official said Qatar has communicated Tehran’s terms for ending the conflict with the United States to Washington in an interview with Al Jazeera. The move adds to indirect negotiations conducted under a fragile ceasefire after U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran earlier this year. Qatar is mediating between Tehran and Washington, while Iran remains prepared to resume implementing the Islamabad memorandum of understanding within days if the U.S. returns to the agreement and fulfills its terms. Iran is seeking substantive, credible guarantees against another attack and says it would begin talks on the nuclear issue and sanctions relief if hostilities stop, the blockade is lifted and Iranian oil exports are allowed. Iran also reached an agreement with Oman concerning the Strait of Hormuz but said it would not reopen the waterway until the blockade ends and a U.S. agreement is reached. Prediction-market pricing showed increased optimism about a potential U.S.-Iran deal, including possible reconstruction funding, with YES odds rising from 14% to 15.5%. Markets will focus on President Trump’s response, further Qatar-mediated contacts, Israeli actions and changes in U.S. policy.

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