Israeli source says Iran nuclear strikes are a matter of time as 2026 deal odds fall

  • An unnamed Israeli source told Al Hadath that strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities are "a matter of time" and Israel could act without U.S. support.
  • Prediction markets lowered the implied probability that a 2026 U.S.-Iran deal would include reconstruction funding.
  • Israel and Iran have exchanged military action intermittently since 2024 as Iran faces IAEA scrutiny and broader UN pressure.

An unnamed Israeli source told Saudi outlet Al Hadath that strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities are "a matter of time" and that Israel could act independently without U.S. support. The source said Israel is monitoring Tehran’s nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities, while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has hinted at unexpected developments in an upcoming United Nations address. Israel and Iran have exchanged military action intermittently since 2024, adding to diplomatic strains between Washington and Tehran. Prediction markets have lowered the implied probability that a potential 2026 U.S.-Iran agreement would include reconstruction funding, amid stalled diplomacy, rising oil prices and international scrutiny of Iran’s nuclear activity. The International Atomic Energy Agency, the UN nuclear watchdog, has scrutinized Iran, while Russia and China have opposed related pressure at the United Nations.

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