Senate Majority PAC weighs Kansas and Texas involvement ahead of November

  • Senate Majority PAC is considering an electoral investment in Kansas’s Senate race.
  • 30.5% is the market-implied likelihood of a Democratic Kansas victory, up from 25%.
  • Candidates have raised over $8.2 million; outside groups added more than $3.6 million.

Senate Majority PAC is considering an electoral investment in Kansas and four or five other deeply Republican states if they remain competitive ahead of November, while also weighing involvement in Texas. JB Poersch, the group’s president, previously said Democrats see a more favorable Senate map amid voter frustration with the economy and the Trump administration. In Kansas, incumbent Republican Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in a race PollingSource labels Toss-up, with Marshall narrowly leading 46% to 45%. The candidates have raised more than $8.2 million combined; Hamilton has raised more recently, while Marshall holds more cash on hand. Outside groups have spent more than $3.6 million. Market pricing places the likelihood of a Democratic Kansas victory at 30.5%, up from 25% a week earlier, though Senate Majority PAC has made no definitive spending commitment. Texas Forever, an affiliated super PAC, was registered with the Federal Election Commission late Thursday.

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