XRP, the Ripple-linked digital asset, recently traded at $1.49, gaining 6.5% over two weeks and 7.1% over one month, according to CoinGecko. Bitcoin rose 6% over two weeks and 7% over one month. Kalshi traders now assign a 46% probability to XRP exceeding $2.00 before the end of 2026, up from 29% one week earlier and 18% in mid-August 2026. The odds of XRP moving above $2.50 stand at 24%, while the chances of exceeding $5 are 11% and returning to the area around its $3.50 all-time-high range are 18%. The token remains about 58% below its 2025 all-time high of $3.65. The Factor Report’s Peter Brandt recently highlighted XRP’s chart before its weekly surge, saying his long-term chart implied a potential future move to $5.40. Despite stronger odds for higher price targets, Kalshi traders have reduced the probability of XRP ending 2026 with a positive return to about 21%, down 5 percentage points and below Bitcoin’s 54% and Ethereum’s 51%. XRP began 2026 near $1.88, briefly exceeded $2.00, then declined with the broader crypto market before reclaiming $1.00 around mid-August. Its favored year-end range is currently $1.50 to $1.749, while the next two ranges, spanning $1.75 to $2.249, carry a combined implied probability of about 41%.