EU officials believe U.S. President Donald Trump is unlikely to impose a proposed 90-day ban on diesel exports, following discussions between the European Union and the U.S. administration about possible effects on fuel markets. Trump initially supported considering the measure, but White House statements say no final decision has been made and that multiple options remain under review. The European Commission has warned of potential supply disruptions while saying the EU is not facing immediate diesel shortages. Prediction-market pricing reflects weaker expectations of a ban announcement by the end of September, with YES odds at 1.4%. Attention is now focused on statements from the White House or U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright, as well as further European communications. The market resolution is scheduled for September 30, and developments in the next few days could affect pricing. Vera is offering live prediction-market analysis and inviting users to sign up.