Trump plans 30-day campaign push as Republicans defend red states

  • Donald Trump plans a 30-day campaign schedule to support Republican candidates.
  • Gasoline averages $4.48 per gallon, while mortgage rates have exceeded 7%.
  • Cook Political Report lists seven Senate races as toss-ups, including Alaska and Ohio.

President Donald Trump plans to spend the next 30 days campaigning for Republicans, including in Alabama, Alaska, Iowa, Ohio and Texas, where candidates face unexpected pressure despite those states having strongly supported him in 2024. The strategy could mobilize low-propensity voters who backed Trump in 2024 but usually skip midterm elections, yet it also limits the time available for campaigning in traditional battlegrounds such as Georgia and North Carolina. White House concern is especially high over Alaska and Ohio. Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan lost by 8 points in Alaska's nonpartisan primary to Democrat Mary Peltola, while Ohio Republican Jon Husted is described by a person close to the White House as an unappealing candidate. Trump's planned trip to Alaska later this month is viewed as a major use of presidential time and resources. Republicans say visits to conservative states can produce spillover benefits in nearby media markets, including Florida and Dallas. Vice President JD Vance and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. have also campaigned or appeared at events in states where Republicans are facing headwinds. Trump's approval rating was 37% in a Wall Street Journal poll released last week, the lowest rating for a president entering a midterm election in Journal polling dating to 1990. Economic pressures cited by Republicans include gasoline averaging $4.48 a gallon, up roughly 10% in a month, mortgage rates above 7%, and expected further Federal Reserve rate increases amid persistent inflation. In Texas, Democrat James Talarico leads Attorney General Ken Paxton by 1 to 6 percentage points in the five most recent polls, while MAGA Inc. has spent $15 million on the Senate contest. The Cook Political Report moved three Senate races and 15 House seats toward Democrats, listing Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio and Texas as toss-ups, North Carolina as lean Democrat and Kansas as lean Republican. Republican officials argue that turnout remains the central rationale for sending Trump into conservative states and insist the party is still competing in purple states, including North Carolina.

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