Polymarket assigns a 25% probability that the U.S. 30-year Treasury yield will reach at least 6% before 2027, down 25% over the past 24 hours, according to PPP’s prediction-market monitoring. The contract covers any day from Sept. 3 through Dec. 31, 2026. Settlement relies exclusively on the U.S. Treasury’s Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates, specifically the 30 Yr entry. The market can settle early once the threshold is reached. If no qualifying figure is published by 11:59 p.m. ET on Jan. 14, 2027, and the Dec. 31 data remains unavailable, the outcome will be No. PPP also invited users to join its signal-push community.