Anthropic IPO odds before November jump to 16% on Kalshi

  • Kalshi traders raised Anthropic's pre-November IPO odds to 16% Wednesday afternoon.
  • Kalshi traders saw over 60% odds of an announcement before December and nearly 80% before January.
  • Anthropic warned investors its models pose catastrophic or existential risks to humanity, Reuters reported.

The chances of Anthropic announcing an initial public offering before November rose to 16% Wednesday afternoon from 4.7% on Sept. 28, based on Kalshi trading. Traders put the odds above 60% for an IPO announcement before December and close to 80% for the offering to happen before January. Anthropic confidentially filed its IPO prospectus in June and warned investors that its models pose a "catastrophic or existential risk to humanity," Reuters reported.

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