Ripple unlocked 1 billion XRP from escrow on October 1, 2026, then returned 700 million XRP through two re-escrow transactions, leaving 300 million XRP not returned through those reported transfers. Whale Alert valued the returned tokens at more than $1.4 billion, while earlier tracker reports valued the gross unlock at approximately $1.49 billion. The activity demonstrates Ripple’s scheduled supply-management process but does not confirm sales or establish the net change in circulating supply. XRP fell about 2.5% over 24 hours, while accumulation and exchange-flow data fueled debate over market absorption. Analyst CrediBULL Crypto identified $1.25 as a possible downside level but said XRP could ultimately reach $20-$30 and potentially deliver one of the strongest rallies of the current cycle.