Enterprise software leads third-quarter stock-market rotation as semiconductors cool

  • Enterprise software led a third-quarter rotation away from semiconductors and AI infrastructure, which Jim Cramer called the period’s defining stock story.
  • The Morningstar US Market Index gained 1.7% in Q3 2026, while its software index rose 25% in July and August and its semiconductor index fell 4%.
  • Large-cap funds generally gained, but small-cap categories fell 5% to 10% as data-center and other high-momentum stocks retreated.

Enterprise software emerged as the defining third-quarter stock-market story, according to Jim Cramer, as the Morningstar US Market Index rose 1.7% in the third quarter of 2026 and leadership shifted from semiconductors and AI infrastructure toward software, energy and value funds. The Morningstar US Software Capped Index gained 25% in July and August before falling 2% in September, while the Morningstar US Semiconductor Index fell 4% in July and August before rebounding 7% in September. The software recovery benefited Salesforce, Microsoft, Workday, Veeva Systems and CrowdStrike, although concentrated AI-infrastructure and small-cap funds declined. Cramer attributed part of the software rebound to the reversal of short positions held by Situational Awareness after margin calls forced the leveraged hedge fund to sell holdings, while Morningstar highlighted changing market leadership, higher rates and pullbacks in data-center construction stocks.

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