U.S. stock futures rise as weak September jobs report cuts Fed hike bets

  • U.S. stock futures rose after a weak September jobs report reduced expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening.
  • The economy added 29,000 nonfarm jobs versus a 90,000 forecast, while unemployment rose to 4.2% and July-August gains were revised down by 60,000 combined.
  • S&P 500 futures gained 0.9%, but the index remained down 1.2% for the week as lower oil prices supported bonds and equities.

U.S. stock futures rose after September 2026 nonfarm payrolls increased by just 29,000, well below the 90,000 forecast, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% and wage growth undershot expectations. Downward revisions reduced combined July and August employment gains by 60,000. The report prompted investors to reduce expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening; before its release, Fed futures priced a 23% chance of a 25-basis-point hike this month, while markets later priced in less than one additional increase for the remainder of 2026. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures each gained 0.9%, while Dow Jones futures climbed 460 points. Lower oil prices also eased inflation concerns and supported Treasuries. Despite Friday's gains, the S&P 500 remained on track for its worst weekly performance since August, down 1.2%, while the Dow was heading for a 1.8% decline and the Nasdaq for a 0.8% loss. Nike fell 10.7% after forecasting lower annual revenue and announcing job cuts.

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