Expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate increase weakened after cautious remarks from New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, softer inflation data and a weak September jobs report. CME FedWatch on Oct. 5 put the probability of unchanged rates through October at 77.9% and a cumulative 25-basis-point increase at 22.1%. For December, the tool showed 11.4% odds of unchanged rates, 62.3% for a cumulative 25-basis-point increase, 24.3% for 50 basis points and 2.1% for 75 basis points. Employers added 29,000 jobs in September versus roughly 90,000 expected, unemployment rose to 4.2%, August payroll growth was revised to 133,000 from 162,000, and average hourly earnings increased 0.1%. Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius still expects one quarter-point increase in December, although another soft inflation reading could eliminate that move. The Fed's benchmark range stands at 3.75%-4.00%, while elevated Treasury yields, mortgage rates and oil prices could keep financial conditions tight even if policymakers pause.